North America has (despite what many seem to think) a lot of positive elements: Tons of wide open spaces, beautiful nature, and a lot of nice cities. The continent also has geography which is pretty great compared to what many places in Europe and Asia are working with. But I really do worry that the continent’s complete lack of modern railways is going to hamper growth in the future.

To be clear, North America does have a lot of railways, and those railways have some redeeming features, most notably they go to most of the big population centres, allow for high-axle weights, and huge clearances that allow for double-decker passenger cars basically everywhere, and more importantly (for today’s railways) double-stacked containers.

But that’s where I’d say the positives mostly stop.


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Freight-Only Ideology

Probably the biggest impediment to modern railways in North America is that most railways — and thus railroaders — operate with a freight-only ideology. Freight is prime, passenger trains (if they exist at all) are an annoying inconvenience, cars and planes are for moving people.

A freight train passing by a GO train station in Toronto.

Now, to be clear, the North American railway system does do freight movement fairly well — we manage to move a huge volume of goods economically and inter-modally through rail, including right to massive ports. Hoever, even on rail freight, we have some major weaknesses.

For one, while the whole “land barge” style of freight movement might be good for moving large volumes with minimal effort and staffing, freight railways in North America are much weaker when it comes to the value of goods carried, and that’s probably because just-in-time for the railways is rarely on time for anyone who’d want to receive a shipment. The erosion of traditional rail freight has been long-running and very unfortunate.

At the same time, infrastructure quality is a big issue. Much of the North American network is single track, sidings are often too short (in many cases, railways have actively downgraded their infrastructure so they have less to maintain, but can also do less…), there is essentially zero freight electrification (there may still be a mine railway or two), signalling is a generation or two behind the rest of the world, and of course: passenger trains are rarely prioritized. Even in places where it’s clear that passenger trains should get priority, the entire culture of freight-first often does not allow it to happen.

And that attitude of impairing a diverse array of services, from more types of freight to passenger trains, has made the North American railways one trick ponies. While at one point they might have operated impressive passenger services, I can’t imagine UP or CN running a high-quality conventional passenger service today, much less high-speed rail! In a lot of ways, it feels like self-sabotage and a lack of discipline, and so often the freight railways need not give anything up to enable the whole rail sector to move forward — say, by letting passenger railways build parallel tracks in the same right-of-way, but this might incumber freight and so it either is disallowed, not proposed, or requires incredible sums of money.

Refusal To Move To Modern or International Standards

There’s also a complete refusal to adopt global standards and highly prevalent “not invented here” syndrome. Want to use ETCS? Electrification? Safety and operating procedures used in hundreds of countries? All of these things face enormous pushback. And when something does end up making its way through (like, say, “enhanced train control”) it is often watered down, overpriced, and underwhelming — which isn’t surprising for a bespoke solution.

At the same time, while railways around the world are focused on pushing themselves forward as climate-positive and complete mobility solutions, North American railways only seem to be able to think about the next shareholders meeting or quarterly numbers release.

Lack of High-Speed Lines

Now, I have harped a lot on the freight railways in this post — because to a large degree in North America the freight railways are the railways, but more broadly the continent seems likely to suffer from a lack of high speed, and even just modern passenger lines. And the fact that our legacy railways are tied up by freight (again, pretty effective freight) is a bad excuse here, because we now have quite a few examples of countries building modern passenger rail independent of legacy railway systems — often to more internationalized standards.

Shenzhen North station, with platforms filled with high-speed trains. (Credit: JR Urbane Network)

The obvious examples I think are Japan and China, both of which have country spanning high-speed train networks built to different, or higher standards, than their legacy mainline train systems. If North America was serious about high-speed rail, this seems like a pretty promising approach to take, but instead in almost every case — Brightline West excluded (which is interestingly also trying to use the European Train Control System) — our high-speed lines existing or under construction are stuck with a lot of rail-based baggage. California High-Speed rail for example will run through level crossings, and the Northeast Corridor still has some crazy sections that should clearly be replaced with more direct diversions.

That North America does not have a modern high-speed railway system is going to mean our cities and megaregions are a lot less competitive, more expensive to operate, slower moving, and worse for the planet. It’s hard to compete with the speed, cost, and efficiency of well-executed railways, and looking at Southern China recently I can’t help but think that the amount of modern high-speed and regional infrastructure they have built is going to pay unthinkable dividends for generations.

High- & Higher-Speed Rail in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macau Greater Bay Area.

Lack of Building Experience

Probably the biggest problem we face though is that we as a continent do not know how to build. Transit projects, and of course high-speed rail projects in North America, should in many ways be easier: we have more space than in other parts of the world and lower-density urban areas, but somehow our costs are the highest. At the same time, not having any real modern passenger mainline that extends between two cities (I guess Brightline Florida might count here) means we have no experience even building or seriously planning such corridors.

The difference on this compared to a place like China is super obvious, but all around the world there are a lot of countries that are building or have recently built serious modern passenger rail infrastructure — i.e. not from an existing railway to an airport, or from the edge of a city to a suburban train station surrounded by parking lots. The UK, France, Korea, India, Germany, and many other nations are building new intercity railways right now, and they all have existing railway networks that are far ahead of what we have.

And yes, there’s China: everyone knows China builds a lot, but the scale and technical complexity of what they build still goes under-appreciated. Look at the existing and planned tracks around Shenzhen North High-Speed rail station for example: quad-track high-speed railways, enormous tunnels under mountains, all intermingled with more metro lines than any city outside of Asia.

And I think this kind of gets at my underlying point — North American cities have built some new commuter rail, and some freight track has been laid, but compared to the scale of stuff being built in Europe — think Stuttgart 21, or massive base tunnels under the Alps — it’s trivial. In much the same way, China building Stuttgart 21, but in a city which is far more densely populated than Stuttgart and which has far more existing infrastructure, oh and it’s for high-speed trains makes the stuff Europe is doing look small by comparison.

Rail infrastructure near Shenzhen North station. Lines in blue are metro lines & lines in red are high-speed lines.

Suffice to say, I think our lack of modern railways and our lack of a plan to build our way to them is deeply problematic. How can we fix this? Perhaps the topic of a future blog post.

21 responses to “Why having few modern railways is going to throw on the brakes for North America.”

  1. rogersexton140 Avatar
    rogersexton140

    This British reader accepts the general point of this article. But I would stress that the building of new inter-city-lines has largely finished in Western Europe. Britain does have the truncated HS2. Germany has only the Ulm-Stuttgart line to complete.
    In Europe the current champion for rail construction is arguably AUSTRIA. Three projects are on the go. The Brenner base tunnel is well known. But the the Semmering Base Tunnel and the Koralm Tunnel will greatly speed up both passengers and freight traffic between Central Europe, Vienna and Italy.

    Perhaps more importantly, I would not cite Suttgart 21 as an example to be followed. It involves replacing a 16-platform dead-end station with an 8-platform underground through station. The new station will not be able to cope with expected increases in passenger traffic.
    Stuttgart 21 is rightly contrasted with what has happened in (relatively nearby) Zurich. There the Swiss, to cope with ever-increasing passenger traffic have (since 1990) added eight underground through platforms to the 16 above ground dead-end platforms.

    1. I don’t think Europe is done building out HSR lines. To increase capacity towards Scandinavia, Germany is thinking about another line from Hamburg to Hannover and there are other lines which are currently at capacity and higher speed lines should be added.

    2. 1) Not citing Stuttgart 21 as an example to be followed, just highlighting that it is a very big project!
      2) I concur with Martin, lots to be built, in France out towards Spain, in the South of Italy, high speed lines for more of Germany (and into Poland), as well as stuff in Scandinavia – theres lots of work to be done!

  2. Christopher P Silvia Avatar
    Christopher P Silvia

    Two factors which overlap to inhibit passenger rail in America are de facto freight priority, and a high rate of derailments, which together inhibit building parallel passenger lines. In Western Massachusetts, CSX demanded an unreasonably large separation between their freight tracks and any parallel passenger tracks. US railroads seem to put a higher priority on being able to freely derail freight trains without bothering anyone, than to putting the right of way to a higher use

    1. I would not even say it is defacto, freight is prioritized full stop

  3. Not the usual optimism I expect from Reese but totally understandable. I would take Amtrak to the Bay Area more often if there weren’t so many delays due to freight. Seems like it’s doable but there is just so much resistance.

    1. car culture is pure evil Avatar
      car culture is pure evil

      The Sacramento area is also full of hateful NIMBYs who say the nastiest things on Google Maps about public transit.

    2. Even I cannot be optimistic all the time, but I also think we need to be honest about problems as well

  4. Cerioner Transit Avatar
    Cerioner Transit

    Reece, do you support the nationalization of rail infrastructure in the US and Canada

    1. I don’t think it’s realistic, and I also don’t think it’s actually necessary. The issue is not who owns the tracks it is how they are the space around them are used / can be used.

  5. car culture is pure evil Avatar
    car culture is pure evil

    Exactly why we need to elect smarter politicians who don’t live in a bubble. Political will is our best chance at building real trains. We should also ignore the angry hateful doomers (looking at you, NJB and Adam Something…).

  6. Quite timely and consistent with my views and those of others who have studied the subject. See the Transit Costs Project’s latest report, “Speeding Up Domestic High-Speed Rail Project delivery” at https://transitcosts.com/wp-content/uploads/HSR_Final_Report.pdf
    An interesting question is who owns the right-of-way? In the US, much of the right-of-way is owned by the freight railways, who pay local real estate taxes on it. (That explains the removal of unused structures, like old passenger stations, to save on taxes). Nationalization of ROW might be opposed by localities, due to loss of tax revenue.

    1. I don’t think we need to nationalize, but we should be able to use freight ROW for more than freight!

  7. Spire Skyscraper Avatar
    Spire Skyscraper

    Brightline is not so much a transportation company as a real estate shell game so id be careful referencing them.

    Florida is not replicable (i.e. here’s a freight railway that hits all the population centres and you can have it for free during the day, oh and are 100 grade crossings ok?) and Vegas will work only if the development deals pan out (which they might – the line ends not at the airport or downtown but at a casino they are developing).

    They do not integrate with public transit and are basically upscale Ubers that require additional actual Ubers at each destination.

    What they have built is great but they lose a fortune every year and will eventually have to turned over to subsidized gov’t operation. Maybe then they will be worth discussing.

    1. 1) “Real estate shell game” need I talk about the history of so many transit systems that are critical today? Developing real estate has long been a part of transit schemes.
      2) Hardly, sure it doesn’t exist in every region, but there are plenty of places where it does, and there is *so* much to learn from Brightline, its hardly just the row / operating model.
      3) The fares are not integrated (though that could always change), but both lines have public transport connections on both ends, and rail on at least one end.
      4) I don’t get the sense they are losing a fortune, especially because they have the property!

      1. The real estate thing is solid, though in the US in recent years it’s not produced much if any income for the transit or other rail system. That might be changing. BART in the Bay Area is working one building housing and commercial development on underused (==parking lots in some cases) property that it owns. It’s just getting started, but the policy has promise for reducing some of their chronic budget issues. See for instance: https://www.sfgate.com/bayarea/article/bart-role-in-the-region-financial-issues-19570179.php

        The problem a lot of transit lines have is that they don’t own property other than parking lots around stations, and they need that parking so people can get to the stations. It’s a hard nut to crack. And even if good TOD gets developed in the vicinity, it’s on private land and the transit agency doesn’t get any of the tax increment (maybe THAT could be changed, but it would often require a popular vote and would inevitably go down to defeat, in California at least).

      2. Illinois and the federal government spent a LOT of public money upgrading that UP line for 110 mph. And the number of trains is still limited, not least because room has to be left in the schedule for freights to get through (the can’t all run at night).

        Most of that Detroit line running at 110 is actually owned by Amtrak. Once you’re off that part of the line, speeds drop to the traditional 79 mph or less of American railroads.

        The NEC is a fluke, because Amtrak inherited an old (1920s-30s) electrification from Penn Central nee Pennsylvania Railroad that provided a good basis for 100 mph+ operations. To their credit, Amtrak has stretched budgets like crazy to improve things further, but they’re getting to the point where Big Bux are involved for Big Remaining Projects and that means Big Politics.

        San Diego also had a program to quietly extend passing sidings to make 2MT a thing on a lot of the Coaster line (Oceanside to San Diego), and mostly 90 mph capable. But of course the simple, cheap projects are done; now they’re doing bigger bridge replacements (still doable within reasonable capital budgets if a little highway money can be tapped), and planning for multi-billion$ projects like the Del Mar tunnel that’s absolutely needed but nobody really knows how to pay for yet.

        Yes, there are probably still a lot of “quick and dirty” projects that can be done and yield improvements. One might ask, for instance, why there are ANY curves on the NEC outside of terminal zones with speed limits below 90-100 mph? Maybe not cheap to fix most of those, but probably not billion$ expensive either (per-project, anyway). All you need is some ongoing (not just occasional) real money, from somewhere. Fix the money problem, and you could see more railroad improvements happening.

  8. While I agree that the freight railroads have largely shafted passenger railroads, it is not exactly true that freight railroads run no passenger service. The BNSF runs one of the busiest commuter lines in Chicago and the Sounder in Seattle; and, UP runs three very busy commuter lines in Chicago (though they are looking to exit that relationship).

    As for high speed rail, the line between Chicago and St Louis is largely running at 110 mph with the ability to shave another half hour off the time by rerouting the exit from Chicago; and, the line from Chicago to Detroit has almost 150 miles if track running at 110 mph with work in progress to bring the rest of the route up to 110 mph.

    Regarding regional and commuter rail, Metra plans to speed up the Metra Electric District to 90mph and also create regional rail. They are even buying battery EMUs to try out the service they would get with electrification.

    I think the situation is better now than it seems; but, many people don’t realize all the quiet work of improvement which has been going on for years. The biggest roadblock, however, continues to be the FRA requiring full grade separation for 125+ mph service.

    1. 1) Full grade separation being required for 125 mph service is very much standard, it is extremely uncommon to have grade crossings with such speeds as it is absolutely a major hazard. I think it’s inaccurate to suggest this is, or really can be a major issue.

      2) I think characterizing the freight railroads as “running” passenger service is odd, they are not doing it on their own volition, and the service level is just downright bad. Metra ridership is not great and the BNSF lines are also not great – they are not “very” busy by rail standards.

  9. How much of the problem is the United States of America seeing itself as the centre of the world. Not like China where the “Sun Rises” but as a refuge from the sinners of the “old countries” with the idea that our way is better because…… And for a long time from the 1870s till about 1970 that was true but the pursuit of Capitalism at all costs vs Socialism when the real enemy was “Marxist Communism” and the dislike of middle roads for anything made life difficult for long term planning as shown with some health and welfare and safety issues mandated in the USA years after third world countries did so.
    The challenge for the USA and to a lesser extent Canada is to find the middle road and make life work rather than “preach a lot of hot air” which is how the USA is seen elsewhere. Not middle road no investment in growth. 🙁

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